Airlines have recently been basking in the glow of record profits, but the clouds of conflict are looming large. According to an analysis by Dubai-based investment firm One Investments, the top nine airlines collectively raked in a staggering $25.11 billion (€22 billion) in net earnings. Leading the charge for the second year in a row is Emirates, which reported a jaw-dropping $5.4 billion (€4.7 billion) net profit for the first quarter of this year. That’s the best performance in its history. However, things may not be as rosy as they seem, especially with the shadow of war in Iran creeping back into the picture.
Emirates’ numbers are eye-popping, but let’s not ignore the details. The airline’s strong showing came despite carrying 1% fewer passengers, a direct consequence of the ongoing conflict that has sent shockwaves through the region’s aviation landscape. The International Air Transport Association is sounding alarms, warning that global airline profits are on track to halve this year. That’s no small potatoes! Just to put that into perspective, oil prices have already surged above $150 a barrel due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for global oil supply.
And while Ryanair seems to have played its cards right by hedging 80% of its fuel needs at around $67 a barrel, they are still keeping their cards close to their chest for the year ahead, citing “poor visibility.” Meanwhile, Singapore Airlines, despite posting a record operating profit, saw its net earnings drop nearly 10% because of the ongoing conflict shutting down Qatari airspace in its final quarter. CEO Hamad Al-Khater expressed concern about the impacts of these events on their bottom line.
Let’s not sugarcoat it—the pain is just starting to show. As the Iran war reignites, it’s hard to predict what the next quarter will look like for these airlines. With jet fuel already eating up about 25.8% of operating costs in 2025, airlines are bracing for a rocky ride ahead. The next edition of this profit ranking might tell a very different story, and we’re all left wondering: How will the skies look in the coming months?
Kaynak: Orijinal Haber
